First, my disclaimer. No inside information here. Just trying to read between the lines...
The names and rumors are flying hot and heavy for the vacant Florida head coaching position now that the majority of teams in college football have seen their regular seasons come to an end.
Since Saturday night, we've seen four names get dropped as "leading" contenders for the job: Doc Holliday (several sources, most notably a now-deleted tweet by Only Gators Get Out Alive), Hugh Freeze (first in a report by SI's Pete Thamel on Saturday night, followed by report from SB Nation's Steven Godfrey that UF had extended Freeze an offer), Jim McElwain (a report by Yahoo's Pat Forde which included a nugget that McElwain and Foley spoke via phone on Saturday evening) and Josh McDaniels (based on reporting by Football Scoop on Monday morning).
The takeaways from all the early conjecture?
1. I do not believe that Hugh Freeze has an offer in hand from the Gators, as it seems Foley is still in the process of "vetting out" his candidates (a term used directly in the Football Scoop report). I would not, however, be surprised if Freeze was the early or current favorite in the eyes of the UF search committee.
2. Jimmy Sexton strikes again. There could be portions of the SB Nation report which are accurate (I hate to seemingly throw Godfrey under the bus, as Sexton would be a legitimate source if that's where the information came from. But you must always be wary of agents ...). For instance, could Foley have already spoken with Freeze or an intermediary? Quite possibly. Could Foley have thrown out a figure like "$4.2-4.3 million" as the number UF was looking to spend on the upper end? Wouldn't surprise me. Could Freeze now be "mulling" the possibility of taking an offer from UF if it comes? Certainly within the realm of possibility. But the only thing I Would read from the Freeze reports at this moment, is that he's poised to make quite a bit more money next year, regardless of where he's coaching.
3. There seem to be some similar general characteristics developing from the names which are jumping out early on. Head coaching experience is a must (all four names fall under that group). SEC experience is highly preferred (Holliday, McElwain and Freeze have that, McDaniels does not). An offensive background is a major plus (all but Holliday fall into that category). And age may not be as much as a factor as it has been in previous UF searches for head coaches -- McElwain is 52 and Holliday is 57, while McDaniels (38) and Freeze (45) seem to fit the more typical profile of a Foley hire.
4. Once again, I have to wonder how McElwain's buyout will figure into the picture if he were to become one of the last finalists the job. A $7.5 million buyout at Colorado State, on top of the ~$8 million or so (a number that will certainly figure to go down as Muschamp staff members get jobs elsewhere) that Florida already has committed to the outgoing staff. That's somewhere in the neighborhood of $14-$15 million BEFORE paying for a new staff. McElwain has done a good job at Colorado State, but I don't know if he's worth the financial commitment Florida will have to make to bring him to Gainesville.
5. Josh McDaniels is a bright, young offensive mind who deserves another crack at a big job down the line. But is UF the right fit for him? He is the son of a coach, and already has over 15 years of experience at the ripe old age of 38. However, he has only spent two years at the collegiate level (as a graduate assistant under Nick Saban and Bobby Williams at Michigan State from 1999-2000). No real recruiting experience, and he's going to get thrown into the gauntlet that is the SEC? Not a good combo. Hiring McDaniels would require a strong staff of recruiters (read: expensive group of assistants) around him.
So, that's what we have so far. I do believe there is some legitimacy to all four of the above-listed names being in the mix for the UF job. We know from past experience that Foley wanted 15 names as candidates for the job when he went through the search that led to Urban Meyer's hiring in 2004. We also know that Foley can throw us a real curveball, as he did with Will Muschamp in 2010. So, the biggest takeaway from everything right now ... until the Gators actually make a hire, there's a LONG ways to go in this coaching search.
Riffing on the wild, crazy world of high school recruiting, college football and other assorted topics.
Showing posts with label Freeze. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Freeze. Show all posts
Monday, December 1, 2014
Monday, September 16, 2013
Muschamp and Texas: The speculation begins
We all knew it was coming. It was only a matter of time. Chip Brown, the Texas beat reporter from Rivals affiliate Orangebloods.com finally put it into verbal form for a national audience this afternoon when he went on the Paul Finebaum Radio Network:
[Let me also add three other coaches I think Texas will take a look at. 1. Nick Saban (how can Texas not at least give him a call?) 2. Pat Fitzgerald (a true up-and-comer in the profession with ties to the state of Texas, but will he leave what he's building at his alma mater?) and 3. Hugh Freeze (would be worth a look, considering what he just did to the Longhorns over the weekend)]
I know I've already discussed the topic of Muschamp and Texas with friends. To a certain extent, the subject has been tossed around ever since Muschamp was hired by Florida. Fans knew Mack Brown wasn't going to hang around forever. What happens when the venerable UT coach decides to throw in the towel? Well, it appears that decision is about to be made for him.
So, will Will Muschamp listen to DeLoss Dodds? Or I guess I should say whoever takes over as AD for Dodds (assuming the reports he will step down at the end of the year are true, of course.)
I'm inclined to believe "yes." Why wouldn't Muschamp listen to Texas? They can offer more money, more resources and better facilities than just about any program in the country (including Florida.) Sure, UF is one of just a handful of "destination jobs" out there. At the very least, Muschamp has a little extra leverage in his pocket to bring to the table when talking about the budget for facilities, assistants, recruiting, etc. going into the offseason. At the very worst, Muschamp is already dealing with an impatient fanbase who feels he should be winning national championships right now instead of losing to Miami. This, despite the fact he's only into Year Three of the clean-up from the mess Urban Meyer left behind. Considering a potential offer from Texas isn't as absurd as anyone might think.
In the end, if it were to come to this, Muschamp's decision will likely come down to a few factors:
1. How does Florida finish out this season? 9-3 or better would keep Muschamp right about on track from where he was heading into the season, considering this is a young team. Better days are ahead. If the heat is off of him from the fanbase, and he's poised to potentially compete for an SEC Championship (and subsequently, a National Championship, as the two go hand-in-hand these days) in 2014, why leave? 8-4 would be a middle ground. 7-5 or worse might have him ready to move on. But then, of course, that would lead one to wonder if that type of finish could hurt Muschamp's stock enough to force Texas to look elsewhere for a head coach? All reasonable questions, which makes how the rest of this season plays out a key here.
2. What's the relationship like between Muschamp and Foley? Being happy in the workplace is always a key. Assuming their bond is still tight (Muschamp was Foley's hand-picked guy, after all), this will be hard for Texas to top. Remember, the Longhorns have an athletic director that seems to be in tenuous standing as well.
3. Is the appeal in Austin that much greater? I don't think there's much argument that Austin, in itself, is generally considered a better place to live than Gainesville. But that's a broad generalization which doesn't take into account every unique situation. The Muschamps were reportedly very happy living in Texas. But is it that much of an improvement over being closer to home (both Muschamp and his wife are Georgia natives, remember) and family? That's a factor we really can't answer.
But for Muschamp, it's really going to come down to his comfort level. If both he and his family are happy in Gainesville and still he's still please with the direction of the program, I'm just not sure Texas would ever be able to swoop in and take him. However, if those factors change, and Florida's somewhat rocky start to the fall continues, perhaps a clean slate will interest him. In any case, it's certainly a situation that will bear watching as the season continues to play out.
Chip Brown tells us potential Texas candidates if Mack Brown steps down: Will Muschamp, Gary Patterson, Charlie Strong, Kirby Smart...
— Paul Finebaum (@finebaum) September 16, 2013
[Let me also add three other coaches I think Texas will take a look at. 1. Nick Saban (how can Texas not at least give him a call?) 2. Pat Fitzgerald (a true up-and-comer in the profession with ties to the state of Texas, but will he leave what he's building at his alma mater?) and 3. Hugh Freeze (would be worth a look, considering what he just did to the Longhorns over the weekend)]
I know I've already discussed the topic of Muschamp and Texas with friends. To a certain extent, the subject has been tossed around ever since Muschamp was hired by Florida. Fans knew Mack Brown wasn't going to hang around forever. What happens when the venerable UT coach decides to throw in the towel? Well, it appears that decision is about to be made for him.
So, will Will Muschamp listen to DeLoss Dodds? Or I guess I should say whoever takes over as AD for Dodds (assuming the reports he will step down at the end of the year are true, of course.)
I'm inclined to believe "yes." Why wouldn't Muschamp listen to Texas? They can offer more money, more resources and better facilities than just about any program in the country (including Florida.) Sure, UF is one of just a handful of "destination jobs" out there. At the very least, Muschamp has a little extra leverage in his pocket to bring to the table when talking about the budget for facilities, assistants, recruiting, etc. going into the offseason. At the very worst, Muschamp is already dealing with an impatient fanbase who feels he should be winning national championships right now instead of losing to Miami. This, despite the fact he's only into Year Three of the clean-up from the mess Urban Meyer left behind. Considering a potential offer from Texas isn't as absurd as anyone might think.
In the end, if it were to come to this, Muschamp's decision will likely come down to a few factors:
1. How does Florida finish out this season? 9-3 or better would keep Muschamp right about on track from where he was heading into the season, considering this is a young team. Better days are ahead. If the heat is off of him from the fanbase, and he's poised to potentially compete for an SEC Championship (and subsequently, a National Championship, as the two go hand-in-hand these days) in 2014, why leave? 8-4 would be a middle ground. 7-5 or worse might have him ready to move on. But then, of course, that would lead one to wonder if that type of finish could hurt Muschamp's stock enough to force Texas to look elsewhere for a head coach? All reasonable questions, which makes how the rest of this season plays out a key here.
2. What's the relationship like between Muschamp and Foley? Being happy in the workplace is always a key. Assuming their bond is still tight (Muschamp was Foley's hand-picked guy, after all), this will be hard for Texas to top. Remember, the Longhorns have an athletic director that seems to be in tenuous standing as well.
3. Is the appeal in Austin that much greater? I don't think there's much argument that Austin, in itself, is generally considered a better place to live than Gainesville. But that's a broad generalization which doesn't take into account every unique situation. The Muschamps were reportedly very happy living in Texas. But is it that much of an improvement over being closer to home (both Muschamp and his wife are Georgia natives, remember) and family? That's a factor we really can't answer.
But for Muschamp, it's really going to come down to his comfort level. If both he and his family are happy in Gainesville and still he's still please with the direction of the program, I'm just not sure Texas would ever be able to swoop in and take him. However, if those factors change, and Florida's somewhat rocky start to the fall continues, perhaps a clean slate will interest him. In any case, it's certainly a situation that will bear watching as the season continues to play out.
Subscribe to:
Posts (Atom)